Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

According to Russians, the inflation rate has considerably increased over the recent months. Utility tariffs soared to unprecedented levels this year.

MOSCOWFebruary 24, 2011. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data concerning how Russians assess the rate of inflation, and prices for which goods and services they say are high.

The inflation is still very high, Russians say: whereas in November 2010 the share of respondents assessing the prices rate as "very high" was 65%, in December - 79% in average, than in January and February it made up 75% and 80% respectively. February assessment is one of the most negative ones during the whole period of measurement. According to respondents, the same critical inflation rate was witnessed in June and July 2008 (78-81%).

The situation seemed to be good in May and July 2010 when the share of those who said the inflation was moderate for the first time exceeded the share of those who assessed it as extremely high  (44-46 versus 37-35%). As before, those who say that the inflation rate is small are in the minority (1-2%).

 

Most of Russians believe that prices for goods they basically purchase have grown by average of 15-25% (60%). Thirteen percent say the prices have risen twice and higher. Other 16% mention 5-10% rise. No one noticed fall or stabilization of prices. The best situation was in the summer of 2007 when the relative majority of respondents reported the goods they usually bought did not increase in prices or increased by not more than 5-10% (43%). The critical assessments were recorded in October 2007 when respondents mentioned 50% inflation rate. (32%).

 

Russians report that the highest prices they witnessed were utility tariffs (81%). Respondents also mention high inflation in fruits and vegetables, and meat products (68 and 64%). More than half of Russians saw big rise for milk dairy products (57%) and petrol (56%). However, in February 2011 the petrol was the only thing with slightly lower prices (2%). Bread is slowly becoming more expensive: 43% say the inflation rate is not so high. In general, the February assessments of the inflation rate are more negative than that of 2009 and 2010; they are close to what Russians reported before the crisis in 2008. The exclusion is vegetables, fruits and utility tariffs which, according to the poll, have soared to unprecedented levels (91 and 95% respectively).

 

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on 19-20 February, 2011. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

How would you assess the inflation rate over the recent one or two months? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

March  2010

April  2010

May  2010

July  2010

11-12.09.10

18-19.09.10

25-26.09.10

02-03.10.10

09-10.10.10

16-17.10.10

Very high

49

48

37

35

57

65

59

66

65

71

Moderate

37

37

44

46

33

28

31

27

28

22

Small

5

5

9

7

4

3

3

4

3

3

Hard  to tell

9

10

10

12

7

4

7

3

4

4

How would you assess the inflation rate over the recent one or two months? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

23-24.10.10

30-31.10.10

06-07.11.10

13-14.11.10

20-21.11.10

27-28.11.10

04-05.12.10

11-12.12.10

18-19.12.10

25-26.12.10

Very high

66

65

68

65

65

64

69

68

70

72

Moderate

26

26

25

27

26

28

26

25

24

22

Small

3

4

3

3

4

4

1

2

3

3

Hard  to tell

4

5

4

5

5

5

3

4

3

3

How would you assess the inflation rate over the recent one or two months? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

08-09.01.11

15-16.01.11

22-23.01.11

29-30.01.11

05-06.02.11

12-13.02.11

19-20.02.11

Very high

71

74

80

77

80

81

80

Moderate

23

21

16

18

17

16

16

Small

2

2

2

2

1

1

2

Hard  to tell

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

In your opinion, how much have the prices for products and consumer goods you usually buy increased?  (close-ended question, one answer)

 

July  2007

October  2007

February  2008  

May  2008  

February  2009

February  2011

Prices did not change

4

0

0

3

0

0

By 5%

15

3

2

10

4

4

By  10%

24

9

6

14

10

11

By 15%

17

12

11

17

14

19

By 20%

12

19

19

24

18

23

By 25%

8

19

27

14

25

19

By 50%

4

20

17

8

13

9

More than 50%

1

12

9

0

6

4

Prices declined

0

0

0

0

0

0

Hard to tell

15

7

8

9

9

11

How would you assess the increase of prices for different goods and services over the recent one or two months? 
(close-ended question, one answer per each position)

 

 

 

July 2007

October  2007

May  2008

June  2008

July  2008

August 2008

October  2008

February 2009

November 2009

August 2010

February 2011

 

 

Bakery

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

-

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

3

2

0

 

Prices did not change

9

10

4

4

5

8

11

27

41

26

11

 

Prices slightly increased

44

37

39

26

24

24

34

40

36

42

43

 

Prices considerably increased

43

49

53

66

68

63

51

27

15

25

42

 

Hard to tell

4

3

4

2

2

3

3

5

5

5

4

 

Dairy

 

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

-

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

0

0

1

1

1

0

1

1

3

2

0

 

Prices did not change

20

2

3

4

6

7

6

14

26

15

6

 

Prices slightly increased

42

18

32

23

21

23

31

43

42

44

32

 

Prices considerably increased

26

74

58

68

67

63

56

34

20

31

57

 

Hard to tell

12

4

5

4

5

6

6

8

10

8

5

 

Meat

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

0

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

 

Prices did not change

15

5

5

3

5

6

4

8

19

14

4

 

Prices slightly increased

38

29

31

21

18

19

23

30

38

40

24

 

Prices considerably increased

34

56

58

70

71

68

66

53

34

35

64

 

Hard to tell

12

8

6

5

6

7

7

8

9

10

7

 

Fruits and Vegetables

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

7

0

2

1

4

1

1

1

1

4

0

 

Prices did not change

19

10

6

4

10

9

9

10

21

19

3

 

Prices slightly increased

32

35

34

25

23

26

29

38

42

35

23

 

Prices considerably increased

29

41

52

65

57

56

53

43

27

33

68

 

Hard to tell

12

12

6

5

6

7

8

9

9

9

6

 

Petrol

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

-

-

-

1

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

-

-

-

0

0

1

11

34

2

0

2

 

Prices did not change

-

-

-

1

1

4

11

17

15

12

3

 

Prices slightly increased

-

-

-

14

10

12

14

11

32

32

16

 

Prices considerably increased

-

-

-

73

79

72

45

14

28

23

56

 

Hard to tell

-

-

-

12

9

12

18

22

24

32

23

 

Utilities

 

 

 

 

Prices considerably decreased

-

-

-

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

 

Prices slightly decreased

-

-

-

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

 

Prices did not change

-

-

-

6

14

12

19

7

19

23

1

 

Prices slightly increased

-

-

-

20

18

20

23

19

35

29

14

 

Prices considerably increased

-

-

-

67

63

59

49

67

36

39

81

 

Hard to tell

-

-

-

5

6

8

9

7

9

9

5

 

 

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