According to the VCIOM expert forecasts, if the vote took place any day now, about 52-54% of those who have the right to vote would take part in it; about 67-68% would vote for the amendments.
MOSCOW, April 22, 2020. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the survey data describing whether Russians intend to take part in the nationwide vote on the constitutional amendments.
Two-thirds of Russians show their interest to take part in the nationwide vote on the constitutional amendments (66%), including 47% of those who will definitely take part. Fifteen percent are not willing to take part in the vote, including 9% who flatly refuse.
Fifteen percent of those who are going to take part in the vote would give their vote in favor of the amendments; 26% oppose them.
According to the opinions of the VCIOM experts, if the vote took place on April 22, the voter turnout might be 52-54% of those who have their right to vote. In addition, 67-68% of voters would vote for the amendments, whereas 27-30% would be against them; 3-5% would spoil their ballots.
Russian VCIOM-Sputnik survey was conducted on April 17, 2020, and commissioned by Expert Institute for Social Research. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,600 Russians aged 18 and older. A stratified dual-frame random sample based on a complete list of Russian landline and mobile phone numbers is used. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes in question wording and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.
Are you going to take part in the nationwide vote on the constitutional amendments?* (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | |||
| February 20 | March 11 | April 17 |
Definitely yes | 41 | 45 | 47 |
Likely yes | 25 | 24 | 19 |
Likely no | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Definitely no | 6 | 7 | 9 |
Not decided yet; I will take decision closer to the vote date | 22 | 17 | 19 |
Don’t know | 1 | 3 | 2 |
If you take part in the vote on the constitutional amendments, will you likely to vote for or against the proposed amendments?* (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | |||
| February 20 | March 11 | April 17 |
Likely to vote for | 43 | 46 | 50 |
Likely to vote against | 17 | 16 | 26 |
I will not take part in the vote/Don’t know | 40 | 38 | 24 |
* Up to March 25, the question included a precise time period/date of the vote: “Are you going to participate in the vote on the constitutional amendments which will be held in spring/April 22 this year?”
VCIOM expert forecast of the nationwide vote on constitutional amendments (%) | |
Voter turnout | 52-54 |
Votes FOR | 67-68 |
Votes AGAINST | 27-30 |
Spoiled ballots | 3-5 |
Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.