Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

The public support for Putin in the 2018 presidential elections has reached a four-year maximum.

MOSCOW, March 3, 2016. Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) presents the results of the survey concerning how Russians assess the Putin’s election promises; whether they are ready to support him in the next presidential elections.

According to Russian assessments, promises given by Putin during his 2012 pre-election campaign are being increasingly implemented. Since 2013, the share of respondents who believe that the president has accomplished most of his promises has doubled (from 16% to 37%). In March 2012 (a week after the elections), the same number of respondents gave the same answer (37%).

Among those who say that all the promises were implemented are more young Russians (39% of those aged 18-24; 26% earlier); Russians with high level of income (50%, 34% earlier), residents of million cities (33%, 12% earlier). Positive judgments are also expressed by parliamentary opposition (CPRF – from 16% to 25%, A Just Russia party - from 19% to 40%, LDPR – from 12% to 33%).

About half of Russians (47%) believe that certain promises were implemented, however, most of them are yet to be fulfilled.

Seventy-four percent of Russians are ready to vote for Putin in the presidential elections that will take part in 2016; this is a four-year maximum (40% in October 2012). The share of those who would support him even if they think that the president has not fulfilled everything that he promised is equal to 70%. Fifteen percent would not vote for him; a further 11% failed to give an answer.

An increasing number of Russians supports Putin across all demographic groups. Those who would vote for him are often men (71%, 46% earlier), young respondents (78%, 53% earlier), persons with high income (80%, 54% earlier), residents of middle cities (81%, 42% earlier), supporters of three parliamentary opposition parties, et cet.  

The VCIOM opinion poll was conducted on January 23-24, 2016. A total of 1600 respondents were interviewed in 130 settlements in 46 regions and republics of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.5%.

 

Four years ago V. Putin won presidential elections and became Russian president. Putin has promised a lot during his latest election campaign. Which of the statements do you most agree with? (closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

III.2012*

I.2013

IV.2013

X.2013

I.2016

Most of Putin promises were fulfilled

37

16

21

32

37

Putin managed to fulfil certain promises  but most of them are not implemented  

41

58

61

46

47

Putin has not fulfilled most of his promises

15

19

13

17

8

Don’ t know

7

7

5

5

8

*In 2012, the question was forecasting.

Putin has not eliminated a possibility to take part in the 2018 presidential elections. Would you support his candidature in the next elections ? (closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

X.2012

X.2013

I.2016

Rather yes

40

51

74

Rather not

39

36

15

It will depend on circumstances;

Don’t know

21

13

11

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.

Read the article in Russian