Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Most of Russians oppose the idea to send Russian troops to Ukraine; however every fifth thinks that it may happen if something threatens Russia.

MOSCOW, July 7, 2014. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the information concerning the following questions: whether a war between Russia and Ukraine is possible in the short run; whether Russia should send troops to southeastern Ukraine, and in what circumstances Russia could do that; what Russians can help Ukrainians with.

The share of respondents who think that a war may start between Russia and Ukraine has considerably increased over the recent months - from 17% in the end of March to 30% in June. At the same time, the share of those who think that this scenario is not possible has substantially decreased: 54% (14% - “absolutely impossible”; 40% - “hardly possible”); in March this share made up 80%. Finally, 11% say that the war is going now.

Two-thirds of Russians (66%) oppose sending troops to Ukraine to stop the conflict. Those who think so are mainly elderly respondents (71% aged over 60), and residents of big and middle cities (74-75%). One-quarter of Russians think that military intervention is needed (27%); they are mainly residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg (41%), CPRF supporters (35%), and respondents with low level of income (35%).

One-third of respondents (33%) say that Russia should never do that. One-fifth of Russians say that Russia can send troops if ordinary people go on dying in Ukraine (18%), in case of a terrorist threat on Russia`s territory (18%), or if Russian check-points are being attacked on Russian-Ukrainian border (18%). Thirteen percent say that a war may start if NATO troops enter the Ukrainian territory. Ten percent say that Russia should satisfy the request of the Donetsk and Luhansk authorities to enter troops. Seven percent say that deaths involving journalists may be a reason. Other 7% report that military intervention is possible in case of train and gas pipeline sabotage. Only 3% say that everything that happened is already a reason to start a war.

Most of Russians are ready to help the refugees coming to Russia from Ukraine. Humanitarian help (products, warm clothes et cet.) is mentioned by 44%. Every fifth (21%) could transfer money to special foundations. Nineteen percent of respondents could distribute information about the refugees` needs. Nine percent would accommodate refugees at their houses or flats.

The VCIOM opinion poll was conducted on June 21-22, 28-29, 2014. 1600 respondents were interviewed in 130 communities in 42 regions of Russia. Data are weighted by gender, age, education, working status and type of settlement.  The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

 

Today many people are talking about a war between Ukraine and Russia. In your opinion, is war possible between these countries? (closed-ended question, one answer)

 

March 8-9, 2014

March 15-16,  2014

March 22-23, 2014

March 29-30, 2014

June 21-22, 2014

Absolutely impossible  

16

17

24

27

14

Hardly possible

46

50

51

53

41

Possible; it may start

28

24

17

17

30

It is now  

6

3

3

1

11

Don`t know

5

6

5

3

5

In your opinion, should Russia send Russian troops to the southeast of Ukraine to put the end to the conflict? 

(closed-ended question, one answer)

 

Total, June 28-29

Moscow and St.Petersburg

Million cities

More than  500 ths

100–500 ths

Less than 100 ths

Rural area

Definitely yes

9

16

8

5

6

5

13

Rather yes

18

25

25

8

16

17

17

Rather no

31

21

12

47

38

33

29

Definitely no

35

30

39

27

37

35

34

Don`t know

8

8

15

12

4

8

7

In what circumstances should Russia send troops to southeastern Ukraine?

(closed-ended question, not more than two answers)

 

Total, June 28-29

No way should Russia send troops to the south-east  of Ukraine

33

Death of many innocent civilians in Eastern Ukraine

18

Terrorist threat on the territory of Ukraine

18

Further attacks on Russian checkpoints at Russian-Ukrainian border

18

Sending NATO troops to Ukraine

13

Donetsk and Luhansk People`s Republics asking Russia to send troops to Ukraine

10

New deaths of Russian journalists in Ukraine

7

New train and gas pipelines sabotage  

7

Increase of the refugees` flow

5

Ukraine`s illegal intake of gas  

4

Everything that happened is enough to send troops to Ukraine

3

Don`t know

7

Would you personally help Ukrainian refugees? If yes, what would you help them with?

(closed-ended question, any number of answers)

 

Total, June 28-29

I would send products, warm clothes other things

44

I would transfer money to special foundations

21

I would distribute information concerning refugees and their needs

19

I would invite them to live in my house

9

I am not ready to help them

23

Other

1

Don`t know

6

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

 

 

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