Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Russians are increasingly afraid of being new victims of terrorist attacks; the confidence in authorities has gone down.

MOSCOW, December 2, 2013. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing whether it was possible to prevent the terrorist attack in Volgograd; what it was caused by; whether the Russian authorities are capable of protecting its population. The press release contains information of social media monitoring conducted by the Social Networks Agency».

Nationwide poll results

Most of Russians are afraid of being the victims of terrorist attacks. Over the recent years the share of those who think so has not changed much, however in August 2013 this share made up 71%; in November – 78%.

The main terrorist threats are Caucasus (20%) and Islamists/vakhabists/Al-Qaida (16%); whereas several months ago these shares were 10% and 10% respectively. Other sources of terrorist threat are less important for Russians. The share of Russians who do not see such a threat is 9% today, which is 3 times less than in August 2013(26%).

In April 2010, after the Moscow underground terrorist attacks, more than half of Russians believed that the attacks could have been prevented (54%), today this opinion with regard to the Volgograd attack is shared by 41% of respondents. At the same time, almost half of respondents tend to think that it is impossible to protect the country against terrorism (49%); those who think so are mainly residents million cities (67%); residents of big cities are more optimistic (56%).

One-third of respondents are confident that Russian authorities can protect the population against terrorist threat (33%), whereas in August 2013 half of respondents thought so (55%). More than half of Russians (58%) are skeptical about authorities` capacities to protect the population against new terrorist attacks.

Results of social media monitoring

According to social media monitoring, half of the Internet users are not confident that Russian authorities and special services are capable of protecting the Russian population against new terrorist attacks (52%). Twenty-nine percent of respondents oppose them; the remainder say that they can rely on themselves and on God(13% and 5%).

One-third of bloggers suspect government and special services in organizing terrorist attacks (33%); other 23% blame the authorities for doing nothing. Eleven percent of users ` comments refer to the religious terrorists; 9% mention foreign terrorist organizations. Eleven percent of users find many facts ambiguous; 8% believe that the terrorist attacks are resulted from national and migration policies conducted by the government; 5% suspect the Central Intelligence Agency of the U.S.

The VCIOM opinion polls were conducted on November 2-3, 2013. 1600 respondents were interviewed in 130 communities in 42 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

Social Media Monitoring was conducted by the Social Networks Agency on November 21-26.  15 – 22, 2013.  The open source engines (Blogs.Yandex.ru, Blogsearch.google.ru) and a special search tool were used during the survey. A total of 1008 relevant publications were analyzed.

Results of nationwide poll

Are you/your family afraid of being the victims of the terrorist attacks?

(closed-ended question, one answer)

 

2000

2001

2006

2007

2009

IV.

2010

IX.

2010

II.

2011

IX.

2011

2012

VIII. 2013

XI. 2013

Somewhat afraid  

51

52

52

54

44

51

49

44

56

48

50

49

Very afraid  

27

26

25

17

17

31

27

36

16

22

21

29

Confident that nothing will happen  

10

12

8

10

13

9

13

10

13

14

11

10

I did not think about it  

10

8

13

16

24

8

10

9

13

17

18

12

Hard to tell

1

2

1

2

3

2

1

2

2

1

1

1


In your opinion, what is the source of terroristic threat to Russian population today?
(open-ended question, any number of answers)

 

August 2013

November 2013.

Caucasus

10

20

Islamists, vakhabists, Al-Qaida

10

16

USA

7

4

Guest workers; migrants

6

3

Authorities, government, president

4

5

Chechnya

3

7

Any person

3

2

Combatants, bandits, criminals

3

2

Non-Russians

2

1

Middle East countries

2

2

Dagestan

2

3

Terrorists

2

3

Georgia

1

1

Western countries

1

1

Social disintegration

1

2

Representatives of other religions

1

2

People on a wrong way (alcoholics, idlers et cet.)

1

2

Asian countries

1

1

Other

1

1

Enemies of Russia

1

1

Foreign countries

1

1

Southern republics  

1

2

Nationalists

1

1

CIS countries

1

0

No such a threat

26

9

Hard to tell

15

18


There was a terrorist attack in Volgograd a week ago. The attack was carried out by a female perpetrator; 6 civilians were killed and dozens of others were injured. In your opinion, could the attack have been prevented, or it is not possible to protect the population against terrorism? (closed-ended question, one answer)

April 2010*

November 2013

Yes, the attack could have been prevented

54

41

No; it is impossible to protect people against terrorism

33

49

Hard to tell

14

10

*In April 2010 the question referred to the Moscow terrorist attacks


In your opinion, will Russian authorities be capable of protecting the population against new terrorist attacks?

(closed-ended question, one answer)

 

 2002

2003

II.2004

IX.2004

2005

2006

 2007

2008

2009

Definitely yes  

3

6

4

6

9

7

6

16

8

Rather yes

17

26

18

22

21

33

37

50

41

Rather no

46

42

50

43

38

39

36

19

28

Definitely no

28

20

24

22

27

12

10

2

9

Hard to tell

6

7

5

6

5

10

10

13

13


In your opinion, will Russian authorities be capable of protecting the population against new terrorist attacks?

(closed-ended question, one answer)

 

IV.2010

IX.2010

II.2011

IX.2011

IX.2012

VIII.2013

ХI.2013

Definitely yes  

6

5

3

3

8

11

7

Rather yes

30

32

17

29

42

44

26

Rather no

36

38

44

41

32

30

42

Definitely no

10

15

25

16

11

8

16

Hard to tell

18

9

11

11

7

7

8

 

Results of social media monitoring

Social media users` assessment of the capacities of the  Russian authorities to protect the population against new terrorist attacks (% of total relevant comments)

Absolutely capable of protecting  

29

Not confident  much

52

Everyone should be vigilant  

13

Hopes for God

5


Questions discussed within the topic: who organized the attacks (% of total relevant comments)

Those who suspect government and special services in organizing attacks  

33

Those who blame authorities and enforcement bodies for being inactive

23

Those who think that the attack was carried out by religious terrorists

11

Those who blame foreign terrorist organizations

9

Those who think that the attacks were resulted from the national and migration policies

8

Suspecting the CIA

5

Those who mark factual ambiguity 

11

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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