MOSCOW, 30 May 2022. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the findings of a survey describing the attitudes of Russians towards Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine.
Over the recent three months public support for the special military operation has been stable: 72% of Russians support the decision to conduct Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine; 18% oppose it; 9% remain undecided.
Understanding of the goals has been the same too: mainly to protect Russia, to disarm Ukraine and not to allow NATO to deploy military bases in Ukraine (40%). One in five considers that the main goal is to change Ukraine’s political course and to denazify it (20%); 18% think the main goal is to protect the population of Donbas (DNR and LNR); 7% say that the main goal is to occupy Ukraine and incorporate it into Russia.
The protest mood levels have decreased by another 4 p.p. since March 2022: based on May 26 data, only 14% of respondents think that mass protests are likely to happen in the area (vs 26% in May 2021). Intentions to express personal protest have not changed compared to March: 11% of Russians would personally take part in protest actions; 84% are likely not to take part in protests if they take place.
Russian nationwide VCIOM-Sputnik surveys were conducted on February 25, 27, March 3, 17, 24, April 12, 24, May 12, 26, 2022. A total of 1,600 of Russians aged 18 and older took part in each survey. Results are based on telephone interviews. Survey method: telephone interviews using a stratified random sample based on a complete list of Russian mobile phone numbers. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes to the wording of questions and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.
Do you support or not support the decision to conduct Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | |||||||||
| 25.II | 27.II | 03.III | 17.III | 24.III | 12.IV | 24.IV | 12.V | 26.V |
Likely to support | 65 | 68 | 71 | 74 | 76 | 72 | 72 | 74 | 72 |
Unlikely to support | 25 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
Don’t know | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
In your opinion, what goal is Russia seeking to achieve by conducting the special military operation in Ukraine? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | |||||||
| 3.III | 17.III | 24.III | 12.IV | 24.IV | 12.V | 26.V |
To protect Russia, to disarm Ukraine and not to allow NATO to deploy military bases in Ukraine | 46 | 46 | 42 | 43 | 39 | 42 | 40 |
To protect the population in Donbas (DNR and LNR) | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
To change Ukraine’s political course, to conduct denazification | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
To occupy Ukraine and to incorporate it into Russia | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Other | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
Don’t know | 4 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
In your opinion, how likely are mass protest actions against falling living standards, unfair government activities, in defense of rights and freedoms in your city/area? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||
| II | III | IV | V | VI | VII | VIII | IX | X | XI | XII | I | II | III | IV | V |
Highly likely | 31 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 14 |
Unlikely | 61 | 64 | 65 | 66 | 68 | 67 | 68 | 70 | 70 | 67 | 68 | 72 | 72 | 75 | 80 | 79 |
Don’t know | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
If such protest actions take place, will you personally take part in them, or not? | ||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||
| II | III | IV | V | VI | VII | VIII | IX | X | XI | XII | I | II | III | IV | V |
Likely to take part | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Unlikely to take part | 81 | 79 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 76 | 76 | 77 | 76 | 74 | 73 | 76 | 76 | 84 | 84 | 84 |
Don’t know | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 |