Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Army approval and trust levels are high among Russians and young persons in particular.

MOSCOW, February 18, 2016. Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) presents the results of the survey describing the approval ratings of the Russian armed forces and Russian defense minister S. Shoygu, as well as the assessment of the prestige of the military service.

The Russian army approval dynamics have been persistently positive over the recent decade. By October 2015, the share of those who assess the performance of the Russian armed forces reached 82% (previous years’ maximum – 83%).

The assessments of the Russian army combat readiness is almost absolute today: 89% of Russians (a 15-year maximum) believe that Russian army is capable of protecting the population facing a real military threat.  The share of Russians aged 18-24 sharing this stance exceeds 80%. The Russian defense minister S. Shoygu approval and trust ratings are extremely high (84% and 88%, respectively).

Demand for strong army is unchallenged: 88% consider that army is the top Russia’s priority today. The share of young persons who think so is lower but still constitutes the majority (78%). Almost every second (45%) supports the idea to strengthen the role of the army in the society; only 5% oppose them.

Army service has become a socially approvable act: 57% of Russians would like their relatives to serve in the army (from 36% in 2014). The share of those who disapprove of the army service has decreased to 31%.

Today Russians perceive the army as a social institution that gives new opportunities (67%). The share of young persons who think so is 53%.  Ten percent of respondents cite negative effects of the army; 18% believe that the army does not play any crucial role in the life. Most of young pre-conscription respondents (71%) plan to serve in the army; however few of them do a determined effort for that (only 19%).

At the same time, the level of public awareness of the situation in the army is medium: 51% of respondents are aware of the current situation and problems; 48% are not aware. The awareness level among young Russians makes up 46%.

Military service attractiveness index shows the attitudes of Russians towards the military service. The index is based on the question: "Would you like your son, brother, husband or close relative to serve in the army?” The index is calculated as a difference between positive and negative responses; the value of index may vary between -100 and 100 points; the higher the value of index is, the better Russians perceive the military service.

The study is a multi-stage research project titled “Public confidence in Russian military forces as a guarantor of Russia’s political and social stability”. The project involves (1) Russian survey conducted in 130 Russian settlements and 46 regions, krais and republics; the sample size is 1600 persons; the margin of error does not exceed 3.4%; (2) target groups’ survey (pre-conscription youth aged 16-18,  Russian military officers, conscripts, contract military personnel, persons served in the army for more than ten months and members of military personal families); the sample size is 3000 persons, 600 respondents in each target group; (3) 40 in-depth interviews with representatives of target groups in more than 20 Russian administrative units. The study was taking place from October 2 through November 30, 2015.

Dynamics of the Russian army approvals*
(% respondents, all-Russian surveys)

January 2006

32

July  2006

43

December  2006

45

January 2007

45

June 2007

46

December  2007

46

January 2008

48

June 2008

51

December  2008

56

January 2009

53

June 2009

55

December  2009

55

January 2010

56

June 2010

53

December  2010

51

January 2011

49

June 2011

46

December  2011

51

January 2012

52

June 2012

59

December 2012

54

January 2013

58

June 2013

59

December 2013

65

January 2014

65

June 2014

77

December 2014

69

January 2015

75

February 2015

78

March 2015

83

April 2015

78

May 2015

80

June 2015

78

July 2015

75

August 2015

79

September 2015

78

October  2015

82

*Question: “Doyougenerallyapproveordisapproveoftheperformance of the Russian army?”* (closed-ended question, one answer)

In your opinion, is the Russian army capable of protecting the population against a military threat coming from other countries? (all-Russian poll, closed-ended question, one answer)

 

2000

2005

2007

2008

2011

2013

2014

June 2015

October 2015

Definitely yes

21

24

23

31

27

21

32

57

49

Rather yes

40

36

44

43

43

45

54

29

40

Rather not

23

23

20

13

17

21

7

8

6

Definitely not

8

10

7

4

7

4

1

2

2

Don’t know

8

7

6

9

6

9

5

4

3

Which of the following statements do you most agree with: the state does not need to have a strong army, or a strong army should be top state priority? (all-Russian poll, closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

25-34

35-44

45-59

60 and over

Most likely the first one: state does not need a strong army anymore; attention should be paid to other problems

9

16

9

10

6

8

Most likely the second one; building a strong army should be top priority for the state

88

78

89

88

91

89

Don’t know

3

6

2

2

3

3

In your opinion, should the role of the Russian army in the life of ordinary people be strengthened, weakened or be the same in the near future? (all-Russian poll, closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

25-34

35-44

45-59

60 and over

Strengthen

45

39

41

42

50

49

Weaken

5

10

4

7

5

3

At the same level

38

40

43

38

35

37

Don’t know

12

10

12

13

10

11

How would you assess the performance of the Defense minister Sergey Shoygu?
(all-Russian poll,closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Definitely good

45

Likely good

39

Likely bad

2

Definitely   bad

1

I know nothing about his work

9

Don’t know

4

Do you generally trust or distrust the Russian Defense Minister S. Shoygu?
(all-Russian poll,closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Trust

88

Distrust

4

Don’t know

8

Would you like your son/brother/husband/close relative to serve in the army? (all-Russian poll, closed-ended question, one answer)

 

2010

2012

2014

2015

Rather yes

36

52

53

57

Rather not

50

40

41

31

Don’t know

14

8

7

12

Index

-14

12

12

26

There are different opinions on how the army shapes the life of young people. Which of the following statements do you most agree with?
(all-Russian poll, closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

25-34

35-44

45-59

60 and over

Army gives you new opportunities, helps to find the place in your life  

67

53

61

70

71

74

Army does not have any effect on the life of young people; it is nothing but another life stage

18

26

20

17

17

14

Army has negative effects on the life of young people; it hampers certain plans

10

17

12

9

8

6

Don’t know

5

4

7

4

4

6

Are you generally aware of the situation in the Russian armed forces and the current problems?(all-Russian poll,closed-ended question, one answer, %)

 

Total respondents

Iamwellaware; I have some idea about the situation in the Russian armed forces

51

I do not have a clear idea of what is happening in the Russian armed forces

48

Don’t know

1

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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