Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

MOSCOW, April 15, 2021. Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) presents the data of a survey describing how Russians assess the recent presidential election in the U.S. and what kind of president they think Joe Biden will be.

Most of Russians were interested in the 2020 U.S. presidential elections (64%); remarkably, 12% were following closely the electoral campaign (often metropolitan residents — 22%).

More than half of Russians could hardly call the recent elections free and democratic (55%). Twelve percent of Russians disagree with them: they are basically young Russians aged 18-24 (21%) saying that it was an open and fair political competition.

If given an opportunity, Russians would have refused to take part in those elections (70%). Those respondents who say they would have taken part would have voted for Donald Trump (12%) rather than Joe Biden (7%).

Almost half of Russians failed to answer when asked what kind of president Joe Biden would be for his country (44%). Russians often expect the Biden’s presidency to be negative or “mediocre” (18% and 28, respectively); every tenth (10%) tends to think that he will be a good president.

The presidency of Joe Biden will likely to have no impact on the Russia-US relations, according to 53% of respondents. Those who forecast changes often expect deterioration (20%) rather than improvement (12%).

Russian nationwide VCIOM-Sputnik survey was conducted on January 27, 2021. A total of 1,600 of Russians aged 18 and older took part in the survey. Results are based on telephone interviews. Stratified dual-frame random sample based on a complete list of Russian landline and mobile phone numbers was used. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes to the wording of questions and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.

The USA held its presidential election last year. Were you following the US presidential election, or not? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

Total respondents

Moscow and St Petersburg

Million-plus cities

500-950 thousand inhabitants

100–500 thousand inhabitants

Less than 100 thousand

Rural area

Yes, I was following the entire presidential campaign

12

22

11

10

15

11

8

I was not following the campaign closely  but I took interest in it  

52

56

59

61

51

47

49

No, I wasn’t

35

22

30

29

33

41

43

Don’t know

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

How would you assess the latest US presidential campaign?

 (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Aged 35-44

Aged 45-59

60 and older

It was an open and fair political competition

12

21

18

11

9

6

The elections can hardly be called truly free and democratic

55

35

39

50

62

69

Don’t know

33

44

43

39

29

25

If you had had an opportunity to take part in the US presidential election, which candidate would you have voted for?  (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Aged 35-44

Aged 45-59

60 and older

Donald Trump

12

21

14

9

13

11

Joe Biden

7

9

12

5

6

5

I would not have taken part in the elections

70

60

62

73

72

74

Don’t know

11

10

12

13

9

10

 

In your opinion, what kind of president will Joe Biden be? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

Total respondents

One of the best

2

Good

8

Mediocre

28

Bad

6

One of the worst

12

Don’t know

44

In your opinion, what impact will the Biden presidency have on the US-Russia relations?  

(closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

Total respondents

The relations are  likely to improve

12

The relations are  likely to deteriorate

20

Nothing will change

53

Don’t know

15

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