Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

MOSCOWJune 16, 2009. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing how Russians evaluate China-Russia relations, what changes in Russia-China relations they forecast,  and which of these two countries benefits most from bilateral economic cooperation.

 

As before, Russians consider Russia-China relations as being normal and quiet (39-40% during 2005-2009). More than third part of respondents (34%) gives positive assessments: 17% think that Russia-China interaction is friendly; the same share of Russians assess Russian-Chinese relations as being good-neighborly. Only 16% have negative evaluations: 10% think that the relations between these two countries are cool; other 5% mention tensions; and 1% - hostile. Compared to 2007, the data have changed within the statistical error.

 

Most of respondents who consider China-Russia relations friendly and good-neighborly are Southerners (45%), supporters of Democrats (44%) and "United Russia" party (40%). The Urals residents (53%) and "Fair Russia" party supporters (47%) tend to assess Russia-China interaction as normal and quiet. And finally, negative assessment is often given by Siberians (20%) and LDPR electorate (33%).

 

In general, Russians have not changed their attitudes towards China. The relative majority of respondents have not changed their attitudes regarding China over the recent decade (43%); the share of such respondents prevails over the recent years (from 38% to 45%). Most of them are Southerners (52%) and CPRF supporters (50%). The share of those whose attitudes towards China have improved is bigger than the share of those whose attitudes have worsened (24% against 10%). The former are mainly Far East residents (30%) and Democrats supporters (50%); the latter are basically Siberians (18%) and LDPR supporters (18%). And finally, 15% report they are not interested in China at all (the share of such respondents has declined by 5% since 2007).

 

Russians increasingly treat China as economic partner of Russia. Russians still perceive China as Russia's strategic and economic partner; the share of such respondents has increased (from 34% to 41%). This point of view is mainly shared by supporters of such parties as "Fair Russia" and "United Russia" (44% and 42% respectively). Every fifth (19%) regard China as friendly and union state. They are basically supporters of Democrats, CPRF and "United Russia" parties (21-22%). 24% report China is Russia's competitor; most of them are Democrats supporters (39%); other 4% are confident that China is a hostile nation.

 

More than half of Russians have positive forecast in Russia-China relations (47%): 20% see China as ally, other 27% - as close partner of Russia. Most of them are Democrats supporters (56%) and Russians with secondary special and higher level of education (48-49%). On the contrary, 29% have negative expectations: 24% predict China would become a dangerous partner for Russia, and 5% say rival. Most of such respondents are LDPR adherents (43%) and respondents with higher education diplomas (31%). Nevertheless, 24% were undecided.

 

Russians think that it is China rather than Russia that will benefit from bilateral economic cooperation (40% against 7%). Thirty-seven percent are confident that both countries will have benefits, while 16% were undecided. LDPR party supporters tend to think that China will benefit first (62% and 44% respectively). Democrats and "United Russia" supporters often mention both countries (44% and 45% respectively). 

 

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on June 6-7, 2009. 

1600 respondents were interviewed at 140 sampling points in 42 regions of Russia.

The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

 

How would you assess the current China-Russia relations?

 (close-ended question, one answer)

 

2005

2007

2009

friendly

15

19

17

good, good-neighborly

19

17

17

normal, quiet

40

40

39

cool

11

10

10

tense

3

3

5

hostile

2

1

1

hard to tell

10

10

11

Have your attitudes regarding China changed over the past?

 If yes, have your attitudes improved or worsened?

(close-ended question, one answer)

 

2005

2007

2009

improved

28

22

24

not changed

38

45

43

worsened

12

8

10

I am not interested in China

16

20

15

hard to tell

6

5

8

In your opinion, what is China today for Russia?

 (close-ended question, one answer))

 

2005

2007

2009

friendly state, ally

22

27

19

strategic and economic partner

34

36

41

economic and political rival, competitor

24

21

24

hostile statepossible rival

4

4

4

hard to tell

16

13

13

In your opinion, will China be Russia's friend or enemy in ХХI century?

 (close-ended question, one answer)

 

2005

2007

2009

ally, friendly nation

22

28

20

close partner

26

24

27

dangerous neighbor, competitor

25

20

24

rival, enemy

6

4

5

hard to tell

21

23

24

In your opinion, which country has more benefits from Russian-Chinese economic cooperation today?
(close-ended question, one answer)

 

2005

2007

2009

China

53

45

40

Russia

8

6

7

China and Russia equally

25

35

37

hard to tell

14

15

16

 

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or www.wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM,

the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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