MOSCOW, June 16, 2009. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing how Russians evaluate China-Russia relations, what changes in Russia-China relations they forecast, and which of these two countries benefits most from bilateral economic cooperation.
As before, Russians consider Russia-China relations as being normal and quiet (39-40% during 2005-2009). More than third part of respondents (34%) gives positive assessments: 17% think that Russia-China interaction is friendly; the same share of Russians assess Russian-Chinese relations as being good-neighborly. Only 16% have negative evaluations: 10% think that the relations between these two countries are cool; other 5% mention tensions; and 1% - hostile. Compared to 2007, the data have changed within the statistical error.
Most of respondents who consider China-Russia relations friendly and good-neighborly are Southerners (45%), supporters of Democrats (44%) and "United Russia" party (40%). The Urals residents (53%) and "Fair Russia" party supporters (47%) tend to assess Russia-China interaction as normal and quiet. And finally, negative assessment is often given by Siberians (20%) and LDPR electorate (33%).
In general, Russians have not changed their attitudes towards China. The relative majority of respondents have not changed their attitudes regarding China over the recent decade (43%); the share of such respondents prevails over the recent years (from 38% to 45%). Most of them are Southerners (52%) and CPRF supporters (50%). The share of those whose attitudes towards China have improved is bigger than the share of those whose attitudes have worsened (24% against 10%). The former are mainly Far East residents (30%) and Democrats supporters (50%); the latter are basically Siberians (18%) and LDPR supporters (18%). And finally, 15% report they are not interested in China at all (the share of such respondents has declined by 5% since 2007).
Russians increasingly treat China as economic partner of Russia. Russians still perceive China as Russia's strategic and economic partner; the share of such respondents has increased (from 34% to 41%). This point of view is mainly shared by supporters of such parties as "Fair Russia" and "United Russia" (44% and 42% respectively). Every fifth (19%) regard China as friendly and union state. They are basically supporters of Democrats, CPRF and "United Russia" parties (21-22%). 24% report China is Russia's competitor; most of them are Democrats supporters (39%); other 4% are confident that China is a hostile nation.
More than half of Russians have positive forecast in Russia-China relations (47%): 20% see China as ally, other 27% - as close partner of Russia. Most of them are Democrats supporters (56%) and Russians with secondary special and higher level of education (48-49%). On the contrary, 29% have negative expectations: 24% predict China would become a dangerous partner for Russia, and 5% say rival. Most of such respondents are LDPR adherents (43%) and respondents with higher education diplomas (31%). Nevertheless, 24% were undecided.
Russians think that it is China rather than Russia that will benefit from bilateral economic cooperation (40% against 7%). Thirty-seven percent are confident that both countries will have benefits, while 16% were undecided. LDPR party supporters tend to think that China will benefit first (62% and 44% respectively). Democrats and "United Russia" supporters often mention both countries (44% and 45% respectively).
The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on June 6-7, 2009.
1600 respondents were interviewed at 140 sampling points in 42 regions of Russia.
The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.
How would you assess the current China-Russia relations? (close-ended question, one answer) | |||
| 2005 | 2007 | 2009 |
friendly | 15 | 19 | 17 |
good, good-neighborly | 19 | 17 | 17 |
normal, quiet | 40 | 40 | 39 |
cool | 11 | 10 | 10 |
tense | 3 | 3 | 5 |
hostile | 2 | 1 | 1 |
hard to tell | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Have your attitudes regarding China changed over the past? If yes, have your attitudes improved or worsened? (close-ended question, one answer) | |||
| 2005 | 2007 | 2009 |
improved | 28 | 22 | 24 |
not changed | 38 | 45 | 43 |
worsened | 12 | 8 | 10 |
I am not interested in China | 16 | 20 | 15 |
hard to tell | 6 | 5 | 8 |
In your opinion, what is China today for Russia? (close-ended question, one answer)) | |||
| 2005 | 2007 | 2009 |
friendly state, ally | 22 | 27 | 19 |
strategic and economic partner | 34 | 36 | 41 |
economic and political rival, competitor | 24 | 21 | 24 |
hostile state, possible rival | 4 | 4 | 4 |
hard to tell | 16 | 13 | 13 |
In your opinion, will China be Russia's friend or enemy in ХХI century? (close-ended question, one answer) | |||
| 2005 | 2007 | 2009 |
ally, friendly nation | 22 | 28 | 20 |
close partner | 26 | 24 | 27 |
dangerous neighbor, competitor | 25 | 20 | 24 |
rival, enemy | 6 | 4 | 5 |
hard to tell | 21 | 23 | 24 |
In your opinion, which country has more benefits from Russian-Chinese economic cooperation today? | |||
| 2005 | 2007 | 2009 |
China | 53 | 45 | 40 |
Russia | 8 | 6 | 7 |
China and Russia equally | 25 | 35 | 37 |
hard to tell | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or www.wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM,
the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!