Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

The protest activity of Russians is going down. The interest of Russians toward elections has decreased. Russians express indifference, outrage and anxiety towards elections.

MOSCOW, March 22, 2012. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data concerning the following questions: what Russians heard about rallies after the presidential elections; their awareness about the protest actions; what emotions the opposition rallies evoke; whether they consider the calls to review the results of the voting reasonable; as well as what future the movement “For the fair elections’ will have.  

The rallies taken place after the presidential elections in support of Putin drew a wider response (60% heard of them), rather than the actions of opposition known for 30%.  At the same time, whereas the actions of Putin`s supporters attract more attention, the opposition actions do not. The number of those who know about the rallies but do not understand what they are intended for has also substantially decreased. Those who know most about the rallies are residents of Moscow and St.Petersburg (91%); those who know about the actions “For the fair elections” reside in other big cities (40%).

 

Those Russians who are well informed about the rallies are usually indifferent towards actions of opposition, however most of them express outrage (19%) and anxiety (18%) about that. Ten percent of respondents feel “hope”; the same share of Russians are disappointed. Other 9% approve of these actions; 3% report the actions make them feel more confident in the future. Those who are indifferent are absentees (42%); those who are outraged are supporters of V.Putin (28%); those who are anxious or disappointed are adherents of Mironov (27 and 16%, respectively). On the contrary, supporters of Zyuganov tend to express “hope” or “approval” (20%, equal to supporters of Prokhorov).

Most of respondents do not think that the results of presidential elections should be reviewed (49%); to compare: 28% of Russians thought so after the State Duma elections.  Those who think that any claims to revise the results are groundless are supporters of Putin (66%) and rural area residents (58%). The share of respondents who think that there is a need to review the results of elections is 38% of respondents, mostly supporters of Zhirinovsky (67%), G.Zyuganov (65%) and M.Prokhorov (62%), as well as residents of Moscow and St.Petersburg (64%). At the same time, the number of those who are ready to express personal protest is 7% - basically Prokhorov`s supporters (19%), metropolitan residents (11%) and residents of middle cities (12%).

The majority of Russians are confident that the protest movement will not be growing: 38% of respondents say that the activity will be ceased, 39% think that the rallies will take place in the future but they will not involve masses.  And only 9% believe that the popularity of rallies will grow.

Most of Russians who think that the claims of opposition to review the final results of elections are groundless consider that the high peak is left behind (49%). Those who think the claims are reasonable but are not ready to express personal protest believe that the actions “For the fair elections” will continue but will not engage masses (50%). And finally, those Russians who are ready to personally take part in the protests against the results of elections believe that the protest activity will grow (38%).

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted March 17-18, 2011. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

Did you personally hear or do you hear for the first time about the rallies that took place in Moscow and other cities after the presidential elections? If yes, could you please describe these rallies: what kind of rallies was held; who organized them, what slogans were popular? (open-ended question, any number of answers)

After rallies upon the State Duma elections, December 17-18, 2011

After rallies upon the State Duma elections, February 11-12, 2012

After the presidential elections, March 17-18, 2012

I heard about the rallies organized by Putin`s adherents “We have something to lose” in support of his candidacy, against orange revolution*

20

38

60

I heard about rallies “For the fair elections” organized by opposition against falsifications during elections, claiming to review the results of the voting, against Putin`s policies

54

48

30

I heard about the rallies but I do not know what they were intended for

24

27

17

Other

-

1

0

I hear for the first time about rallies and actions of protest

15

14

8

*the survey was conducted December 17-19 and 11-12 took into account the rallies organized by the supporters of United Russia party.

The opposition held a number of rallies “For the fair elections” against the results of the presidential elections. What emotions and feelings do you feel about that?

(close-ended question, not more than two answers, % of those who heard about rallies)

Total

Supporters of Zhirinovsky

Supporters of Zyuganov

Supporters of Mironov

Supporters of Prokhorov

Supporters of Putin

I would not take part in elections

Outrage, irritation

19

7

9

8

9

28

4

Anxiety, concerns about the future

18

16

17

27

18

19

14

Hope, enthusiasm

10

17

20

14

11

8

5

Disappointment, tiredness

10

9

7

16

9

10

10

Approval, empathy

9

17

20

8

20

4

17

Confidence in the future

3

1

8

5

9

2

2

Indifference

32

33

26

27

22

32

42

Other

1

1

 

 

3

2

2

Hard to tell

7

4

5

3

6

7

11


There is a statement that there were many violations during the presidential elections. There are calls to participate in protest actions, to review the voting results. What is your personal attitude towards these claims? (close-ended question, one answer)

After State Duma elections, December 2011

After presidential elections, March 2012

I think the claims are reasonable; I am ready to participate in actions of protest to review the results of the voting

10

7

I think the claims are reasonable but I am not going to participate in actions of protest

38

31

I think these claims are groundless

28

49

Hard to tell

23

13


Which of the statement about the future of the opposition movementFor the fair electionsdo you most agree? (close-ended question, one answer)

Total respon

dents

Those who think that the rallies are reasonable and are ready to take part

Those who think the rallies are reasonable but are not going to take part

Those who think the rallies are groundless

The peak of protests is over;

the wave of protest mood

 is going down; the rallies will

soon be ceased

38

24

30

49

The rallies will be continued,

but will not involve masses

39

32

50

35

The popularity of opposition

rallies will be growing; there

will be a new wave of protests

actions

9

38

11

5

Hard to tell

14

6

9

1

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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