Those who expect improving financial well-being rely on their salaries, whereas pessimists are afraid of inflation.
MOSCOW, March 23, 2011. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing what economic forecast Russians make; at the expense of what they expect improving/worsening of their financial situation; what strategies they apply trying to preserve their normal life and resist the inflation.
The forecast of the change in financial well-being after the crisis of 2009 has become more positive and reached the record of 2007.The share of those who expect financial situation to improve has grown from 13 to 19% over the two years. Those who are optimistic are mostly Russians aged 18-24 (33%). The number of those who expect their financial well-being to get worsened has declined from 32 to 21% respectively. Pessimistic views are expressed by respondents aged above 45 (25-27%). The majority of Russians do not expect any changes in their well-being to happen this year (47%, in 2009 there were 38%). Elderly respondents forecast financial stability (53%).
Those Russians who expect their financial well-being to get improved in 2011 rely basically on their main job salaries, however year-by-year this source is becoming less important (from 61% in 2008 to 54% this year). The number of those who rely on the second job salaries (14% versus 25% in 2009), on pension or income from their entrepreneurial activities has decreased (12% for each). Rarer Russians expect financial improvement from their unofficial earnings (9% versus 14% in 2008), financial assistance from relatives and friends or other financial sources (7% for each), their income from selling products produced on personal subsidiary plots (4%) or from rental housing (3%). Those who rely on scholarships, or unemployment benefit (2% for each), deposit interests or income from selling real estate and property (1% for each) are in the minority.
Most of those who predict worsening in their economic situation, increasingly blame inflation (from 67% to 82% over three years). More respondents also complain about the increase of expenditures (53% versus 43% in 2008). The loss of the main job less threatens Russians than it did two years ago (from 21 to 11%). Russians also cited the need for loan payments (8%), loss of second job (5%), loss of unofficial job (4%) or other reduction in revenues (8%), loss of social (3%) and unemployment benefits (2%). Least Russians consider that their financial situation worsened because their business closed down or because of the reduction of interests on deposits (1% fore each).
Whereas earlier Russians could switch to cheap products, today they would do it only partially. Over the recent decades the strategies of Russians facing shrinking revenues have been constantly changing. In 1999 Russians opted for cheap products (46%). Ten years later some of Russians were in favor of this strategy (33%), whereas the same share of respondents would do that only partially (29%) or went on buying the same products in smaller quantities (31%). Today Russians would abandon products they usually buy in favor of the cheap ones only partially (34%).
With rising prices and decreasing incomes more Russians tend to economize (54%). The number of those who use active strategies such as searching for second or unofficial job (17% for each), growing fruits and vegetables on subsidiary plots (14%) has considerably decreased. Those who rely on benefits (4%) or rental housing (2%) are in the minority. Eighteen percent of respondents do not do anything.
The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on 22-23 January, 2011. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.
In your opinion, how the financial well-being of your family will change during a year? | ||||
| 1998 October | 2006 | 2009 | 2011 January |
It will rather improve | 9 | 18 | 13 | 19 |
It will not change | 33 | 54 | 38 | 47 |
It will get worsened | 37 | 16 | 32 | 21 |
Hard to tell | 22 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Could you mark the sources you are going to improve the financial well-being of your family from? (close-ended question, not more than three answers, % of those who forecast improvements in their financial well-being) | |||
| 2008 | 2009 | 2011 |
Main job salary | 61 | 57 | 54 |
Second job salary (work for hire, contract job, part-time job et cet.) | 19 | 25 | 14 |
Pension (retirement, disability, social pensions et cet.) | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Revenues from entrepreneurial activities (including self-employment) | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Unofficial job income: regular-irregular, constant-random (private services) | 14 | 10 | 9 |
Financial assistance from relatives, friends | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Other financial income | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Income from selling products produced on personal subsidiary plots | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Income from house, dacha, garage, plots of land rentals | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Child benefit, other benefits | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Scholarship | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Unemployment benefits | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Deposit interest rates | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Income from selling real estate and property | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Alimony | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hard to tell | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Could you mark why do you forecast worsening in the financial well-being of your family? (close-ended question, not more than three answers, % of those who forecast worsening in their financial well-being) | |||
| 2008 | 2009 | 2011 |
High inflation rate | 67 | 72 | 82 |
Increase in expenditures | 43 | 50 | 53 |
Loss of main job | 10 | 21 | 11 |
Loss/reduction of other financial income | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Need to pay loans | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Loss of second job (part-time job, work for hire, contract work) | 4 | 10 | 5 |
Loss of unofficial job | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Loss of social benefits | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Loss of unemployment benefits | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Loss/reduction of financial assistance from relatives, friends | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Loss/reduction of income from selling products produced on private subsidiary plots | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Closing down your business | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Reduction of interest rates on deposits | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Loss of scholarship | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Loss/reduction of alimony | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hard to tell | 11 | 2 | 2 |
If your family income is decreasing and will keep decreasing, what will you do when choosing food products? (close-ended question, one answers) | |||
| 1999 | 2009 | 2011 |
Completely switch to cheaper products | 46 | 33 | 29 |
Mainly switch to cheaper products, but sometimes buying the products I got used to | 37 | 29 | 34 |
Keep buying the same products as before, but reduce the quantities (trying to economize) | 13 | 31 | 29 |
Hard to tell | 4 | 7 | 9 |
Public income has recently been decreasing while prices have been increasing. What do you do to preserve the way of living you got used to? (close-ended question, any number of answers) | ||
| 2009 | 2011 |
Cut expenditures, economize | 57 | 54 |
Search for part-time job (contract job, second job) | 15 | 17 |
Search for an unofficial job - regular or irregular, constant or random (private services) | 17 | 17 |
Grow fruits and vegetables on my plot of land | 17 | 14 |
Ask for benefits which I did not use before | 3 | 4 |
Rent out house | 3 | 2 |
Do nothing | 18 | 18 |
Other | 1 | 1 |
Hard to tell | 2 | 5 |
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