Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Most of Russians are worried about a new wave of crisis but they do not do anything special to get prepared.

MOSCOW, July 16, 2012. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing the economic forecast made by Russians; whether they are worried about a new wave of economic crisis , as well as whether they are getting ready for that.

Economic forecast looks less positive today than in spring: the index* has dropped again (up to -2) after a sharp increase in March (increase of up to 13 points). It was due to the increase in the share of those who have pessimistic expectations (from 32 to 44%). The share of those who think that the next twelve months will be good for the economy has slightly decreased (from 45 to 42%). Those who are confident that Russia`s economy will be successfully developing in upcoming months are mainly young Russians (50%), those with high level of income (51%) and metropolitan residents (52%). They are opposed by 45-59-year-old Russians (50%).

Today most of Russians are worried about a new wave of crisis (58%). The index** makes up 53 points (to compare: in December 2008, in the midst of economic crisis it made up 66 points). Those who are worried most are Russians with low financial income (66%) and respondents of pre-retirement age (65%).  The share of those Russians who are not worried at all is 38%: they are basically Russians who have average and above-average incomes (40-42%), as well as young Russians (49%).

The overwhelming majority of Russians is not preparing for the possible economic difficulties and they are not changing their plans (85%). Only 9% of respondents take special measures: 3% make savings; 2% economize; 1% (for each) stock up food , search for a new job or get ready morally.

*The index shows how much Russians are confident that the following twelve months will be positive for Russian economy. The index is based on the question “In your opinion, will the following twelve months be good or bad for Russia`s economy?”. The index is calculated as a difference between answers (“good”, “rather good” and “rather bad”, “bad”). The index value varies from -100 to 100. The higher the value of index is, the more optimistic the Russians` views about the future are.

**The index shows how much Russians are worried about a new wave of crisis. The index is based on the question “Are you personally worried about a new wave of crisis, or not? The index is calculated as a sum of answers multiplied by certain coefficients (answer “yes, worried a lot” – by 0.9; “worried, but not too much – by 0.7, “I am not too worried” – by 0.3; “I am not worried at all” - by 0.1). The value of index can vary from 10 to 90.

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted June 16-17 and June 30 – July 1, 2012. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

In your opinion, will be the following twelve months be good or bad for Russia`s economy? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

VI.2012

III.2012

XII.2011

VII.2011

IV.2011

I.2011

X.2010

IX.2010

VIII.2010

VII.2010

Good

6

4

3

5

4

6

4

6

6

6

Rather good

36

41

30

33

35

36

34

36

35

37

Rather bad

35

26

33

30

33

27

26

29

29

24

Bad

9

6

7

7

9

7

6

6

7

4

Hard to tell

14

24

27

25

19

24

30

24

23

28

Index  (max 100, min -100)

-2

13

-7

1

-4

7

6

7

5

15


Are you personally worried about a new wave of economic crisis, or not? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

 

July  2012

December  2009

November  2009

October  2009

September  2009

August  2009

July  2009

June  2009

May  2009

April  2009

March  2009

February  2009

January  2009

December  2008

Yes, I am worried a lot

21

33

35

37

38

38

40

39

44

43

51

56

40

40

Yes, I am worried, but not too much

37

41

42

42

41

42

40

42

40

39

36

31

40

35

I am not worried too much

22

17

15

14

14

12

14

13

11

11

8

8

14

15

I am not worried at all

16

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

5

3

3

3

4

6

Hard to tell

4

4

2

2

2

2

1

2

1

3

2

2

1

4

Index  

53

64

66

67

68

68

69

69

71

70

74

75

69

66

In 2008-2009 the question was: “Are you personally worried about the economic crisis that has just started, or not?” (close-ended question, one answer).


Are you personally preparing for the crisis: are you trying to change your plans, or not? If yes, what do you do?   (open-ended question, any number of answers)

 

 

Hard to tell

6

Make savings

3

Economize; no expensive purchases

2

No money to make plans

2

Stock  up food

1

Get ready morally

1

Search for a new job

1

Other

1

No changes

85

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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