Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

The latest May 6 action was less popular than the March of Millions that was held a year ago and ended with riot.

MOSCOW, May 29, 2013. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data concerning the following questions: whether Russians heard about the action held on May 6; how they assess the opposition rallies and their participants; what they think about the future of the protest movement.

The latest opposition aciton was less popular that the March of Millions held a year ago: the share of those who heard about the May 6 rally is 44% (52% - a year ago). Those who are most informed are Muscovites and St.Petersburgians (53%).

Most of those who knew about the opposition action do not remember its slogans (72%): 68% are hard to remember them; 4% do not remember any of them. The remainder remember calls for change of power   (6%), slogans such “Down with Putin” (5%, a year ago – 18%) and “For Fair Elections” (4%). Respondents also mentioned the following slogans: “Freedom for Political Prisoners”, “Increase Salaries and Pensions” (3%, for each), “Freedom, Equality, Democracy” (2%), “Fair Power Without Corruption” (1%). 

According to Russians, the key reason behind the opposition actions is dissatisfaction with political power (21%), however the share of Russians who think so has decreased (a year ago – 29%). Russians believe that the following factors are also less actual: dissatisfaction with living standards (from 14 to 10%), results of elections (from 11 to 4%), Putin`s policies (from 6 to 2%). There is a n increase in the share of those who believe that participants of these actions fight for justice (from 4 to 10%); at the same time, more Russians think that participants want to draw attention to themselves (from 5 to 8%) or to stir up discord in the society (from 2 to 7%).

The portrait of a typical participant of the opposition rally is the same: Russians think that this should be someone who wants to express his/her opinion about the government policies (50%). The shares of those who believe that participants get money for taking part in the protest actions (29%) or have plenty of free time (23%) are also big. Eleven percent believe that participants are forced to take part in protest actions; 6% regard them as being mentally ill.  

The number of those supporting the opposition actions is still the same: 25% were loyal towards actions a year ago; today the share makes up 27%; the share of those who would personally take part in such actions is 7%. One-third of respondents are indifferent toward opposition actions (35%); the same part of Russians perceives protest actions negatively (32%).

A relative majority of Russians are confident that the protest rallies will be held in the future but they will be less popular (39%). Those who think so are mainly residents of Moscow and St.Petersburg (43%) and Russians aged 35-44 (44%). Nineteen percent of Russians tend to think that the peak of popularity of the rallies is over: those who think so are basically residents of million cities (25%). Twenty-three percent of Russians oppose them saying that the popularity of protest actions will be growing; those who think so are often residents of big cities (31%).

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on May 18-19, 2013. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 130 sampling points in 42 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

Do you know/have you heard about the opposition rallies held on May 6 in Moscow and other cities of Russia? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

June 2012

May 2013

I heard about it

52

44

I hear for the first time

45

55

Hard to tell

4

2

What slogans of the May 6 protest action did you remember? (open-ended quoin, any number of answers, % of those who heard about the action)

 

June 2012

June 2013

Change of power

2

6

Down with Putin! Russia without Putin!

18

5

For fair elections!

7

5

New open and honest elections!

4

4

Freedom for political prisoners!

 

3

Increase salaries, pensions!

1

3

Freedom, equality, democracy!

1

2

Honest  power without corruption

1

1

Putin is a thief!

1

0

Glad that Putin is at power

1

 

Hands off education

1

 

For new Russia

1

 

None

2

4

Other

1

1

Hard to tell

64

68

In your opinion, what is the reason behind rallies and demonstrations; what are the purposes the organizers are trying to achieve? (open-ended quoin, not more than three  answers)

 

June 2012

June 2013

People are not satisfied with the political power; they want the power  to be dismissed

29

21

People are not satisfied with the living standards

14

10

Fighting for justice

4

10

Organizers want to be at power themselves

8

9

They are trying to attract attention; they promote themselves  

5

8

They want to stir up discord in the society

2

7

They are not satisfied with the results of elections and mass falsifications

11

4

People have plenty of free time; they have nothing to do

4

4

They do not like Putin`s policies

6

2

Rallies are ordered, organized for money

1

2

Provocation from the West

2

2

Other

1

1

Hard to tell

22

27

In your opinion, who takes part in such rallies?

(close-ended question, not more than  two answers)

 

January 2012

February 2012

May 2012

June 2012

May 2013

Everyone who wants to express his/her opinion about the policies and wants to be heard

50

54

44

50

50

People who got money for doing that

25

26

31

28

29

People who have plenty of free time: this is the way they entertain themselves  

17

16

23

25

23

People who were forced to take part in such actions

13

11

12

9

11

Mentally unstable people, ready for asocial behavior

6

5

7

6

6

Other

1

1

2

1

2

Hard to tell

13

16

9

6

8

What is your current attitude towards rallies and demonstrations of the opposition?

 (close-ended question, one answer)

 

May 2012

September 2012

January 2013

May 2013

I support them; I am ready to take part in them

7

10

7

7

I support them but I am not ready to take part in them

15

19

18

20

Indifferent

35

34

36

35

I do not support them but I believe that people have right to take part in them

29

28

29

23

I do not support them; I believe such actions must be banned

10

7

7

9

Hard to tell

4

2

3

5

What statement about the future of the opposition movement is closer to yours?  
(close-ended question, one answer)

 

June 2012

September 2012

May 2013

Peak of popularity is over; a wave of protest actions is going down; soon there will not be any rallies at all  

23

20

19

Opposition rallies will be organized but they will not be very popular  and noticeable

42

38

39

Popularity of opposition rallies will be growing; we should expect a new surge of protest actions

21

21

23

Hard to tell

15

21

19

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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