MOSCOW, February 18, 2008 Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents a forecast of the voter turn out and results of the presidential elections on March 2 this year.
85.0% of respondents spoke of their probable participation in the presidential elections (cf.: 71% of respondents intended to vote in October 2007, 5 weeks before the elections to the State Duma of the Russian Federation). 9.2% of respondents are not planning to participate in the elections for President of the Russian federation. According to the forecast, calculated by VCIOM experts, the probable voter turn out on March 2 will total 68.5%.
As far as the election results are concerned, VCIOM expects the following outcome: 73.5% of the electorate will vote for Dmitry Medvedev, 13.5% will give their votes to Gennady Zyuganov, 11.6% will vote for Vladimir Zhirinovsky and 1.3% for Andrey Bogdanov.
The initiative all-Russia opinion poll was conducted by VCIOM on January 12-13, 19-20, 26-27 and February 2-3 and 9-10, 2007. 1600 respondents were interviewed in 153 population areas of 46 regions of Russia. The statistical error does not exceed 3.4%
Are you planning to participate in the presidential elections on March 2, 2008? | |||||
| January 12–13 | January 19–20 | January 26–27 | February 2–3 | February 9–10 |
No, definitely not | 39,6 | 48,2 | 45,3 | 55,8 | 58,6 |
Probably not | 42,2 | 32,0 | 40,0 | 28,3 | 26,4 |
Probably so | 8,2 | 7,0 | 4,4 | 5,9 | 3,8 |
Yes, definitely so | 5,3 | 4,7 | 4,6 | 5,4 | 5,4 |
Hard to say | 4,7 | 8,1 | 5,7 | 4,6 | 5,8 |
Forecast of the election results on March 2, 2008 | |||
| „If you are going to participate in the presidential elections, who of the following presidential contenders are you planning to vote for?“ (according to the data of the survey conducted on February 9-10, 2008) | Election forecast | |
| The share of all respondents | The share of „active“ respondents | |
A.Y. Bogdanov | 0,8 | 0,9 | 1,3 |
V.V. Zhirinovsky | 7,1 | 7,8 | 11,6 |
G.A. Zyuganov | 8,3 | 9,1 | 13,5 |
D.A. Medvedev | 62,1 | 69,9 | 73,5 |
I would rather not go to vote | 7,3 | – |
|
Hard to say | 14,4 | 12,3 |
|