Results of our studies

MOSCOW, March 12, 2008 Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents information on how Russians think the state of affairs in Russia is going to change in the country after D. Medvedev has been elected President of the Russian Federation.Over half of Russians (54%) believe that after D. Medvedev has been elected as President of Russia, the country will develop in a democratic way. A smaller share was sure of the same fact in 2000, when V. Putin was elected as Head of state (35%). The share of respondents who expect Yeltsin’s ways to be preserved has decreased during the last eight years (from 26% down to 16%), as well as the share of those expecting that a dictatorship will be installed did (from 10% down to 6%). Still only the few (1-3%) predict an increase in anarchy or the return of Pre-perestroyka ways. 20% of respondents find it hard to provide an opinion on this issue. The majority of those who voted for D. Medvedev at the presidential elections on March 2 (73%) expects that the country will develop towards democracy. G. Zyuganov’s supporters less often predict democratic development than preservation of the former Yeltsin’s ways (22% and 34%). Zhirinovsky's voters provide these two forecasts equally often (23% for each option).After his election as President of the country D. Medvedev should first of all concentrate his attention on economic problems, i.e. a decrease in prices and an establishment of the state control over prices (as 57% of respondents believe); indexation of salaries, pensions, deposits according to the prise increase (56%); fight against corruption, plunder of public property (43%), increase in industrial production (39%), financial support of state enterprises and agriculture (29%). The importance of these problems has increased if compared to 2000. The share of Russians considering that it is necessary to return to the state regulation of economy has increased as well (from 11% up to 17%). The urgency of reinforcing law and order has remained (28%); as well as those of strengthening the military industrial complex and the country’s defensive capacity did (18%). However, the topicality of such issues as the Chechen Republic and Northern Caucasus (from 36% down to 6%); improvements of tax collection (from 23% down to 7%); strengthening Russia’s positions in the international arena (from 21% down to 15%) has on the whole decreased. 45% of respondents assume that D. Medvedev will first of all rely on governors and the political elite of the country when settling the tasks that the country has to face, to a lesser degree he will rely on bankers, large-scale businessmen (27%) and "security officials" (25%). The third group in the rating of support consists of government officials, "directors" and the "middle class" (13-16% for each option).In 2000 when V. Putin was elected President of the country, public opinion considered his main supporters to be "security officials" (52%), the second place was occupied by governors, political elite of the country (40%), and the third place belonged to "oligarchs" (25%).The initiative All-Russia opinion poll was conducted by VCIOM on March 8-9, 2008. 1600 respondents were interviewed each time in 153 population areas of 46 regions of Russia. The statistical error does not exceed 3.4%.    

What course do you think the events in the country will take after … has been elected President of the Russian Federation?

 

Vladimir Putin

Dmitry Medvedev

 

2000

2008

Development of democracy

35

54

Maintaining the old (Yeltsin’s) ways

26

16

Dictatorship in the making

10

6

Loss of order, increase of anarchy

1

3

A return to the pre-Perestroyka ways

4

1

Hard to say

24

20

What course do you think the events in the country will take after … has been elected President of the Russian Federation?

 

Total respondents

Supporters of presidential contenders at the elections on March 2, 2008

V. Zhirinovsky

G. Zyuganov

D. Medvedev

Development of democracy

54

23

22

73

Maintaining the old (Yeltsin’s) ways

6

9

10

4

Dictatorship in the making

16

23

34

8

Loss of order, increase of anarchy

1

3

2

1

A return to the Pre-perestroyka ways

3

12

10

0

Hard to say

20

28

23

15

What tasks and duties should ... focus on after his being elected President of the Russian Federation(Up to five options)

 

Vladimir Putin

Dmitry Medvedev

 

2000

2008

A decrease in prices, state regulation of prices

30

57

Indexation of salaries, pensions, deposits in accordance to the price increase

26

56

Fight against corruption and plunder of public property

33

43

Development of industrial production

33

39

Financial support of state enterprises and agriculture

18

29

Reinforcement of law and order, fight against crime

28

28

Strengthening of the military industrial complex and the country's defensive capacity

20

18

Return to the state regulation of economy

11

17

Reducing the tax load on the population and legal entities

13

15

Reviewing the results of privatization of large state entities

13

15

Strengthening Russia’s positions in the international arena

21

15

Development of the private sector capital/ business

9

9

Reducing the influence that the natural monopolies and new financial industrial groups have on the life of the country

6

9

Improving the collection of taxes

23

7

Continue the transition of the state enterprises and land into the hands of effective private owners

7

7

Settling the Chechnya / North Caucasus issue

36

6

Other option

0

3

None of the above

1

2

Hard to say

16

7

What forces do you think … will rely on? (Up to three options)

 

Vladimir Putin

Dmitry Medvedev

2000

2008

Governors, the country’s political elite

40

45

"The oligarchs“, bankers, entrepreneurs working in large business

25

27

Security officials: intelligent agency officials, armed forces, Ministry of Internal Affairs

52

25

State officials, bureaucracy

12

16

„Directors”: heads of large-scale enterprises

17

15

„The middle class“: people with an average European level of income

10

13

Intelligentsia: teachers, doctors, engineers

11

8

„The common people“: small officials, workers, people working in agriculture

12

8

Cultural and science elite

9

7

"Fringe urban population groups": the poor, the scum

1

0

Without exception

6

14

Hard to say

15

19


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