Six percent of Russians eligible to vote declare their willingness to vote for A Just Russia. However, the core of the electorate is minimal and does not reach 1% of the total Russian voters.
MOSCOW, November 18, 2020. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the findings of a survey describing the level of electoral support for A Just Russia.
As last year, 6% of Russians say they would vote for A Just Russia. An all-time high, since the record began in 2015, was recorded in 2016 (6.1%), the worst decline was recorded in 2015 (4.4%).
The core supporters, i.e. those respondents who would willingly vote for A Just Russia and do not admit a possibility to vote for any other party, is represented by less than 1%. The periphery of the electorate is 6%; it means that 6% of Russians show their willingness to vote for A Just Russia but admit a possibility to vote for other parties or are undecided. When asked directly, every second respondent is likely not to vote for this party (50%).
More than half of Russians report to be unlikely interested in the activities of A Just Russia (69%). They are opposed by 26% of respondents. As to the party’s achievements, an overwhelming majority of respondents (96%) fail to cite any over the recent 2-3 years. As to the party’s failures, 90% also could not answer the question; 2% say that A Just Russia failed to cancel the pension reform.
According 35% of Russians, A Just Russia serves the interests of the entire society. Almost every second Russian considers that the party is likely to serve the interests of the minority or a small group of people (43%).
Russians believe that the party is likely to speak out in favor of social justice (44%), rather than the development of market economy (18%). In the Russian perceptions, A Just Russia is likely to be a conservative party oriented towards stability (41%), rather than a reformist party seeking changes (19%). Thirty percent of Russians are confident that the party defends the interests of ordinary people; however, 38% think that the party supports the most prosperous part of society. The party is not capable of ensuring the country’s development (47%); this opinion is opposed by 23%. Most of the party’s members are people without high moral principles (35% support; 22% oppose this opinion). Those who belong to this party are mainly public officials (52%), rather than ordinary people (18%). Russians believe that this is a party of empty promises (46%); however, 17% do not agree with this stance - they think this is a party of real action.
Russian nationwide VCIOM-Sputnik survey was conducted on November 11, 2020. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,600 Russians aged 18 and older. Stratified dual-frame random sample based on a complete list of Russian landline and mobile phone numbers was used. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes to the wording of questions and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.
DECLARED VOTE DYNAMICS A JUST RUSSIA (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | ||||||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
Declared vote for A Just Russia
| 4.4 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
If State Duma elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for? | ||||||
| IV.18 | X.18 | XII.18 | III.19 | IV.19 | XI.20 |
CORE OF THE ELECTORATE
| <1 | 1 | <1 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
PERIPHERY OF THE ELECTORATE | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
If State Duma elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for? A Just Russia | |||
| VIII.16 | XI.19 | X.20 |
I do not admit the possibility to vote for this party | 41 | 53 | 50 |
I admit the possibility to vote for this party | 46 | 39 | 38 |
Are you likely to be interested/not interested in the activities of A Just Russia? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | ||
| IV.2019 | XI.20 |
Likely interested | 25 | 26 |
Likely not interested | 70 | 69 |
Don’t know | 5 | 5 |
Can you cite three most important achievements of A Just Russia over the recent | |
| Total respondents |
Support for social policies | 1 |
Economic initiatives | 1 |
Speaking against the pension reform | 1 |
They survived as a party / they got into Duma | 1 |
Other | 2 |
No achievements were made | 12 |
Don’t know | 84 |
Can you cite three most important failures of A Just Russia over the recent | |
| Total respondents |
The party failed to cancel the pension reform | 2 |
Economic initiatives | 1 |
They give promise but do nothing / fail to go through with what they promised | 1 |
Support for the ruling party | 1 |
Lack of attention to social policy | 1 |
They are outdated / old ideas / no remarkable leaders | 1 |
Weak campaigning / failure in the elections | 1 |
They do not show themselves off | 1 |
This party is too small in the political arena | 1 |
Support for the amendments to the Constitution | 1 |
Other | 2 |
There were no failures | 5 |
Don’t know | 85 |
In your opinion, whose interests does A Just Russia serve? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | ||
| IV.2019 | XI.20 |
It serves the interests of the entire society | 39 | 11 |
It serves the interests of the majority | 24 | |
It serves the interests of the minority | 39 | 10 |
It serves the interests of a small group of people | 33 | |
Don’t know | 22 | 22 |
I will read out a pair of statements concerning A Just Russia. Which statement do you most agree with; which statement reflects best your position? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents) | ||
| First statement | Second statement |
This party speaks out in favor of social justice OR This party speaks out in favor of the development of market economy | 44 | 18 |
This is a conservative party oriented towards stability and not seeking changes OR This is a reformist party oriented towards changes, new ideas and approach | 41 | 19 |
This party defends the interests of ordinary people OR This party defends the interests of the most prosperous part of society | 30 | 38 |
This is a party that can ensure country’s development OR This is a party that cannot ensure the country’s development | 23 | 47 |
Most of the party members are people with high moral principles OR Most of the party members are people who lack strict moral principles | 22 | 35 |
Most of the party members are ordinary people, just like me OR Most of the party members are public officials, people from the halls of power | 18 | 52 |
This is a party of real action. The party accomplishes what it promised OR This is a party of empty promises. The largest portion of what was promised was not accomplished. | 17 | 46 |
Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.