Press release №2233
03.12.2019
PEOPLE’S PREDICTIONS OF EURO 2020 FINALS

IN BRIEF

  • 35% of Russians are going to follow the UEFA Euro
  • 44% of respondents are aware that UEFA Euro Finals will take place in St Petersburg
  • Russians think that the Russian team can take the second place (28%) or the first place (21%) in the group
  • An absolute majority of Russians who are going to follow Euro 2020 will support Russia (85%)

One-third of Russians are going to follow UEFA EURO 2020; every fifth respondent says the Russian team may become the first in the group. An overwhelming majority of those who are following EURO 2020 will support Russia.

MOSCOW, December 3, 2019. Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) presents the data of a survey devoted to people’s predictions of the UEFA Euro 2020 results (the Championship will be held from June 12 to July 12, 2020 in London (Great Britain)).

Thirty-five percent of Russians are going to follow Euro 2020. Another 41% are not likely to follow the championship; 24% did not think about it at the time of survey. In general, 40% of respondents are interested in football with varying degrees: they are basically people aged over 60 (50%) and men (49%); every fourth (25%) usually follows the UEFA championships.

More than half of respondents know that Russia was qualified for the UEFA Euro finals (54%); they are mainly men (62%). Forty-four percent of Russians are aware that the final matches will take place in St Petersburg; this share is higher among respondents aged 45-59 and respondents aged 60 and over (48% and 65, respectively).

Every tenth Russian (13%) knows the results of EURO 2020 final tournament draw. Five percent of Russians was watching the draw. Those who were particularly interested are male respondents and Russians aged 60 and over (24% and 28%, respectively).

According to the draw, the Russian team is in the same group as Denmark, Belgium and Finland. Every second respondent says that Russia was really fortunate (50%) to be in this group. However according to 25% of respondents the favorite in this group is Belgium; every fifth Russian considers that any team is equally strong (22%). One-third of respondents believe that Russia will take the second place in the group (28%); every fifth respondent points to the first position (21%).

An absolute majority of Russians who are going to follow Euro 2020 will support the Russian team (85%). Russians are divided in their opinions on the Russian team’s performance: every fifth believes that Russia will get to the quarterfinals (19%); 16% think that Russia will drop out in the round of sixteen; 14% say the team will get to the semi-finals; every tenth says that Russia may become champion (10%).

Russian VCIOM-Sputnik public opinion survey was conducted on December 1, 2019. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,600 Russians aged 18 and older. A stratified dual-frame random sample based on a complete list of Russian landline and mobile phone numbers is used. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes in question wording and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.

Are you interested in football? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)  
  Total respondents Men Women
Yes, I am a regular football fan 7 12 3
Interested occasionally 33 37 30
Indifferent 59 51 66
Don’ t know 1 0 1

Are you interested in football? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents Aged 18-24 Aged 25-34 Aged 35-44 Aged 45-59 Aged 60 and over
Yes, I am a regular football fan 7 7 8 5 7 8
Interested occasionally 33 26 25 31 33 42
Indifferent 59 66 66 64 60 49
Don’ t know 1 1 1 0 0 1

Do you usually follow the European football championships? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents
  Total respondents
Usually yes 25
Usually no 74
Don’ t know 1

The Russian team played Euro 2020 qualifying matches and got to the final stage. Do you know, or do you hear for the first time about that? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents Men Women
I know/ I heard 54 62 47
This is the first time I hear about that 46 38 53

Do you know/did you hear/do you hear for the first time that the Euro 2010 final matches may be held in St Petersburg? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents Aged 18-24 Aged 25-34 Aged 35-44 Aged 45-59 Aged 60 and over
I know/ I heard 44 30 27 30 48 65
This is the first time I hear about that 56 70 73 70 52 35

The draw for the UEFA EURO 2020 final tournament took place on November 30. Did you follow the draw? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents Men Women
I followed the draw closely 5 7 3
I did not follow the draw but I know the results 13 16 10
I did not follow the draw, I do not know the results 82 77 87

The draw for the UEFA EURO 2020 final tournament took place on November 30. Did you follow the draw? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents Aged 18-24 Aged 25-34 Aged 35-44 Aged 45-59 Aged 60 and over
I followed the draw closely 5 2 2 3 4 10
I did not follow the draw but I know the results 13 6 12 8 13 18
I did not follow the draw, I do not know the results 82 92 86 89 83 72

Following the draw, the Russian team is in the same group as Denmark, Belgium and Finland. In your opinion, can the Russian team be considered fortunate enough to be in this group?  (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents
Rather fortunate 50
Rather not fortunate 17
Don’ t know / I am not an expert in this issue 33

In your opinion, what team in the same group as Russia is a favorite? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents
Belgium 24
Russia 12
Denmark 4
Finland 2
There are no favorites; all the teams are equal 22
Don’ t know / I am not an expert in this issue 36

The Russian team is in the same group as Denmark, Belgium and Finland. In your opinion. In your opinion, what place will the Russian team take after Euro 2020 finals? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents
1 place 21
2 place 28
3 place 16
4 place 11
Don’ t know / I am not an expert in this issue 24

Will you follow the Euro 2020 matches? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents
Likely yes 35
Likely not 41
I did not know about the championship; I did not think about it 24
Don’ t know 0

If you are going to follow Euro 2020, what teams will you support? (open-ended question, up to 3 answers, % of those who are going to follow Euro 2020; answers of at least 5% of respondents)
  Total respondents
Russia 85
Germany 10
France 8
Spain 7
Belgium 5
England 5
Other 0
Don’ t know 6

In your opinion, how will the Russian team perform at Euro 2020? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)
  Total respondents
It will not leave the qualifying group 6
It will get to the round of sixteen 16
It will get to the quarter finals 19
It will get to the semi-finals 14
It will get to the finals   12
It will become Europe' s champion 10
Don’ t know 23

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.
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