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VCIOM Press-release

12.03.2008

Press-release No. 899

RUSSIANS FOR HILLARY CLINTON!MOSCOW, March 12, 2008 Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents information on whether Russians are following the course of the presidential election campaign in the USA; whether the respondents think that the result of these elections is going to be important for our country; whose victory most corresponds with Russia's national interests and whom Russians would give their vote to if they could vote at the presidential elections in the USA.The current presidential election campaign in the USA attracts a little less attention of Russians than the campaign of 2004 did: 36% of respondents used to follow the elections then, whereas 32% do so now (this includes 5% of respondents who express big interest in the campaign, and 27% who are following the campaign from time to time). The pre-election state of affairs in the USA causes the greatest interest among residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg (41% of them follow the election campaign in the USA); residents of small towns and villages demonstrate the least interest in the elections (27%).Every second respondent (48%) considers the result of presidential elections in the USA to be important for Russia, every third respondent (34%) does not share this point of view. Inhabitants of Moscow and St. Petersburg speak about the high importance of the given event more often (62%) than respondents from other cities (47-50%) and villages (43%).The victory of a presidential contender from the Democratic Party in the presidential elections in the USA correspondents to the national interests of Russia to a greater degree, as 19% of respondents identify. Only 4% of respondents adhere to the opposite point of view, i.e. that the victory of a candidate from the Republican Party is more favourable for Russia. About one third of respondents (31%) believe that the issue does not really matter for Russia. However, nearly half of respondents (46%) find it hard to provide an answer to this question.If respondents had an opportunity to take part in the presidential elections in the USA, 19% would vote for Hillary Clinton, 4% for Barack Оbama; any other candidate would not obtain more than 1% of the vote. A quarter of respondents (25%) would not participate in the elections. Half of respondents (48%) find it hard to provide an answer to the question whom they would give the vote to in this case.The initiative All-Russia opinion poll was conducted by VCIOM on February 9-10, 2008. 1600 respondents were interviewed each time in 153 population areas of 46 regions of Russia. The statistical error does not exceed 3.4%.   

There is a presidential election campaign going on in the USA. Are you following it?

 

August 2004

February 2008

Yes, I am closely following it

5

5

I am following it, but only from time to time

31

27

I am not following it

60

67

Hard to say

4

1

 

There is a presidential election campaign going on in the USA. Are you following it?

 

Total respondents

Type of settlement

Moscow and St. Petersburg

More than 500 thousand residents

100-500 thousand residents

Less than 100 thousand residendts

Villages

Yes, I am closely following it

5

7

6

4

4

5

I am following it, but only from time to time

27

34

30

31

23

22

I am not following it

67

58

62

64

72

71

Hard to say

1

1

2

1

1

2

 

Do you think that the result of presidential elections in the USA is important for Russia?

 

October 2004

February 2008

Yes, it is very important

20

15

It is quite important

33

33

It is not really important

26

22

It is not important at all

12

12

Hard to say

9

18

 

Do you think that the result of presidential elections in the USA is important for Russia?

 

Total respondents

Type of settlement

Moscow and St. Petersburg

More than 500 thousand residents

100-500 thousand residents

Less than 100 thousand residents

Villages

Yes, it is very important

15

28

16

14

12

13

It is quite important

33

34

32

36

35

30

It is not really important

22

15

24

26

25

21

It is not important at all

12

13

11

8

10

15

Hard to say

18

10

17

16

18

21

 

Whose victory at the presidential elections in the USA do you think most of all corresponds with Russia's national interests?

 

Total respondents

Level of education

Elementary or lower, junior secondary education

Secondary education (school or vocational school)

Post-secondary education  (technical school)

Incomplete higher education (no less than 6 semesters),  higher education

Democratic presidential contender

19

11

17

19

24

Republican presidential contender

4

2

5

5

3

It makes no difference to Russia

31

23

27

34

33

Hard to say

46

64

51

42

40

 

If you could participate in the presidential elections in the USA, which of the presidential contenders would you vote for?

Hillary Clinton (Democratic Party)

19

Barack Obama ( Democratic Party)

4

John McCain (Republican Party)

1

Mike Huckabee (Republican Party)

1

Rudolf Giuliani (Republican Party)

1

Mitt Romney (Republican Party)

0

I would not go to vote

25

Hard to say

48

 





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Tendencies

Did you experience any pressure (or restrictions) from federal, regional, or local authorities in 2009 when deciding on the following issues...? (close-ended question, any number of answers, answer "yes") 

1600 respondents were interviewed at 140 sampling points in 42 regions of Russia.
The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.